Superintelligence Challenges & Existential Risks

In an analysis published on LessWrong, researcher Matthew Baxter predicts rapid advancement toward artificial superintelligence—potentially reaching artificial general intelligence, or AGI, by twenty twenty-eight or twenty twenty-nine. The paper outlines five critical challenges where failure poses existential risk: technical alignment and safety, concentration of power, international coordination, social stability, and ethical governance. While technical safety is essential, Baxter argues the existential challenge is broader—encompassing economic disruption, meaning, purpose, and human connection.

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