5 "Plan A" scenarios

LessWrong explores five different policy frameworks for governing advanced AI development. The author argues that effective governance requires layered defenses combining technical controls, verification methods, and incentive structures. The scenarios include chip-level monitoring with remote killswitches, a joint international project similar to CERN for centralized AI training, mutual deterrence agreements, capability thresholds enforced by treaty, and strict liability regimes that make risky AI development expensive. Per the post, the most promising approaches combine multiple strategies—for instance, chip-based detection to prevent unauthorized training, predetermined capability limits, and financial incentives that reward safety investment.

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