Two Victorian polls have the Coalition leading Labor, with One Nation down

Two new polls have Victorian voters leaning toward the Coalition, showing the right-leaning party ahead of Labor by narrow margins of fifty-two to forty-eight and fifty-three to forty-seven after preferences. One Nation's primary vote has fallen three to five points to twenty-two percent in both surveys, suggesting the state's election is returning to a traditional two-party contest. The shift follows Ben Carroll's appointment as Labor premier — replacing Jacinta Allan — and coincides with rising popularity for Liberal leader Jess Wilson. Per The Conversation's election analyst Adrian Beaumont, while the Coalition's lead is genuine, it leaves Labor a window to recover before the late-November election.

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